Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
VAS
3 - 2
FLU
39%
26%
36%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 2
VAS
14%
21%
65%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 0
AUD
87%
10%
3%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 1
VAS
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 1
BAN
85%
12%
4%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 2
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 2
BOA
84%
12%
5%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
4 - 2
RES
91%
7%
2%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 3
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |