Vasco da Gama vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VAS
4 - 0
POR
81%
14%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 3
VAS
11%
21%
69%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
VOL
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 4
VAS
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
73%
17%
11%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
AGU
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 1
JAC
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
AGU
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 1
INT
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
AGU
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |