Vasco da Gama vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 2
VAS
18%
23%
59%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
VAS
3 - 0
PPE
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 0
BRA
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 1
VAS
40%
24%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 0
DUQ
83%
13%
4%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
ABC
0 - 4
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
ABC
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 1
IFC
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 0
ABC
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
ARN
1 - 0
ABC
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |