Varzim vs Vizela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 0
VAR
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
COV
2 - 1
VAR
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 1
BEN
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
ACV
0 - 1
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 0
MAF
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vizela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
VIZ
1 - 0
BEN
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
ACV
1 - 3
VIZ
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
VIZ
1 - 1
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
LEX
0 - 4
VIZ
32%
28%
41%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VIZ
1 - 1
ARO
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |