Varzim vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 1
VSC
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
VAR
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 1
SPC
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
UNM
38%
29%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
VST
0 - 1
RIO
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 2
VST
19%
21%
60%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 2
VST
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
VST
0 - 0
FCP
17%
23%
60%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
VST
2 - 0
SAN
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |