Varzim vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
CAM
1 - 1
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
VAR
1 - 0
LEC
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
EST
0 - 0
VAR
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1997 |
VAR
0 - 2
FCP
12%
22%
66%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEL
37%
30%
33%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
VST
1 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
SAL
1 - 1
VST
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
VST
1 - 0
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
BOA
2 - 1
VST
75%
17%
9%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
LEC
0 - 2
VST
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |