Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 2
GFC
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 2
POR
22%
23%
55%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 2
BEL
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
VAR
74%
18%
9%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
SPB
14%
23%
63%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
VSC
3 - 2
BEN
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
VSC
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ACA
1 - 0
VSC
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
VSC
2 - 1
BRA
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SCP
3 - 0
VSC
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |