Varzim vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
6º
3º
12
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
VAR
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAN
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ANA
3 - 0
VAR
18%
26%
56%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAN
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 3
VIA
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIA
84%
12%
3%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 2
FEL
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
VIA
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 3
VIA
33%
27%
41%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |