Varzim vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 0
ACV
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 2
POR
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 0
RDA
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
ACA
3 - 2
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UNM
1 - 0
BEN
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 1
UNM
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 0
UNM
43%
26%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 1
CHA
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 1
COV
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |