Varzim vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 1
VAR
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAR
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
PEN
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
POR
1 - 1
VAR
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 2
FEI
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
UNM
1 - 3
PEN
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
POR
3 - 1
UNM
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
UNM
1 - 2
FEI
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 2
UNM
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
UNM
3 - 3
SPC
50%
27%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |