Varzim vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
SLB
2 - 1
VAR
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 0
BMA
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 1
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
FCP
7 - 0
VAR
79%
15%
7%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
UDL
0 - 1
PAÇ
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
UDL
1 - 0
PAÇ
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 3
UDL
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
UDL
0 - 0
ACA
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 0
UDL
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |