Varzim vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 0
VAR
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 2
PEN
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 3
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 3
VIZ
24%
27%
50%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 0
VAR
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 1
ACV
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
FEI
4 - 1
OLI
63%
23%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 2
BEN
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
COV
0 - 0
OLI
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 0
MAF
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |