Varzim vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
JOA
2 - 2
VAR
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 0
RIB
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ADO
0 - 0
VAR
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 2
LIX
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FEL
3 - 2
VAR
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TIR
0 - 0
FAM
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TIR
0 - 0
FEL
45%
26%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
JOA
1 - 2
TIR
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TIR
1 - 2
RIB
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ADO
0 - 0
TIR
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |