Varzim vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
LEX
3 - 0
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
VAR
3 - 0
BEL
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
VST
1 - 0
VAR
76%
16%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
SAN
2 - 2
VAR
48%
21%
32%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
VAR
1 - 2
SAN
65%
17%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
TIR
1 - 3
FCP
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
SCP
0 - 0
TIR
83%
11%
6%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
TIR
0 - 4
ACA
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
TIR
0 - 3
SLB
28%
22%
50%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
SLB
4 - 0
TIR
85%
10%
5%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |