Varzim vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.5%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.3%
82.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
20.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.8%
0-3
15%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
VAR
21%
28%
51%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
FEI
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VAR
3 - 0
FEL
63%
23%
15%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 1
VIL
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ANA
0 - 1
VAR
18%
28%
55%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SCP
0 - 2
MAR
54%
23%
22%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
SCP
12%
19%
70%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
SCP
31%
24%
45%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SCP
3 - 1
GFC
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BOA
2 - 1
SCP
10%
19%
72%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |