Varzim vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
55%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
BOA
0 - 1
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
VST
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
ACA
64%
23%
13%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
MAR
1 - 0
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
VAR
2 - 0
BEL
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
MAR
2 - 3
SCP
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
SCP
5 - 1
BEL
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
FAF
0 - 1
SCP
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
SPB
1 - 1
SCP
26%
27%
48%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |