Varzim vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
8º
4º
26
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
BEL
0 - 0
VAR
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 1
ATL
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 0
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 2
AMA
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
4 - 1
VAR
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
SCP
3 - 0
1DE
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SCP
1 - 3
BEL
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ATL
0 - 0
SCP
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
SCP
1 - 0
LUS
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 2
SCP
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |