Varzim vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
COV
1 - 1
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
REA
1 - 2
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
ACV
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SPC
2 - 0
VAR
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 1
POR
29%
28%
44%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
SCP
1 - 2
BEN
49%
24%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
POR
0 - 2
SCP
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
SCP
1 - 1
FAM
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
OLI
4 - 2
SCP
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SCP
2 - 3
NAC
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |