Varzim vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
ACV
48%
28%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
VAR
30%
27%
44%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 0
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VSC
0 - 1
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SCP
2 - 1
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 3
SCP
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SCP
0 - 0
FAM
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
OLH
1 - 0
SCP
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SCP
1 - 1
SCF
45%
26%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |