Varzim vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
3º
8º
6º
9
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 3
FEL
26%
27%
48%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 3
LUS
27%
29%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 2
ALV
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
SPC
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SPC
1 - 2
BRA
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 2
SPC
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |