Varzim vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
VAR
1 - 0
PEN
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
VAR
1 - 0
LOU
79%
16%
5%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
VAR
1 - 3
FAR
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
FEI
1 - 2
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 1
ACA
46%
29%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 1
SLB
9%
19%
72%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 2
FEI
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MAF
2 - 2
SPC
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
SPC
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |