Varzim vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
23.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
LEX
0 - 1
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
MAF
50%
28%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 0
MOR
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 0
COV
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
MOR
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
COV
2 - 4
SPC
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SPC
0 - 0
ACV
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
MAF
2 - 0
SPC
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
SPC
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 1
PEN
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |