Varzim vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
42.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
NAC
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
VAR
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
OLI
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
VAR
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
ACV
0 - 0
SPC
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 1
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 1
SPC
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SPC
1 - 0
ARO
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 1
SPC
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |