Varzim vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
UNM
38%
29%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 0
ACV
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 2
POR
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 0
RDA
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 2
SPC
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 0
COV
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
SPC
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FAF
1 - 1
SPC
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 1
VIZ
47%
28%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |