Varzim vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
27.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
VSC
1 - 0
VAR
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
POR
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
UNM
0 - 1
VAR
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 1
PEN
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 2
ACA
42%
30%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 1
ACV
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 1
SPC
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 0
BEN
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
COV
1 - 0
SPC
26%
30%
45%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SPC
1 - 1
FAF
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |