Varzim vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
FEI
1 - 0
VAR
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 2
FAR
55%
26%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 0
GFC
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 2
VAR
46%
28%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 2
VAR
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
SPC
3 - 0
ATL
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
SPC
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
SPC
0 - 0
LEX
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 0
SPC
28%
27%
46%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SCF
1 - 0
SPC
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |