Varzim vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
POR
3 - 2
VAR
65%
21%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 1
FAT
41%
29%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 2
VAR
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
2 - 2
PEN
36%
29%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
AVE
2 - 0
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 0
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
OLI
3 - 0
SPC
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 1
FEI
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
SPC
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
SPC
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |