Varzim vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 3
GFC
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
GON
2 - 1
VAR
44%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAN
38%
28%
35%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
UDL
1 - 0
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 1
VIZ
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SPC
4 - 1
POR
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
EST
3 - 1
SPC
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SPC
1 - 2
GFC
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
GON
1 - 1
SPC
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |