Varzim vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SAL
2 - 0
VAR
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 0
FEL
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
EST
3 - 3
VAR
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
MAI
1 - 2
VAR
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SPC
0 - 2
PEN
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
SPC
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
SPC
1 - 1
FEI
40%
27%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 1
SPC
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPC
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |