Varzim vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
VAR
3 - 0
SCF
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
NAV
1 - 2
VAR
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 1
MAI
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
UNI
1 - 0
VAR
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
VAR
0 - 0
CHA
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
PEN
2 - 0
SPC
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
SPC
0 - 2
RIO
30%
26%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
SPC
1 - 1
BMA
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
MOR
1 - 0
SPC
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
SPC
2 - 3
ESP
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |