Varzim vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
3º
8º
6º
23
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
VAR
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
FEL
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
VAR
28%
28%
45%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 1
ANA
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 0
VAR
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
ALV
41%
25%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIA
0 - 2
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
FAF
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 3
FEL
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 4
BRA
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |