Varzim vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
6º
3º
27
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
AVE
2 - 1
VAR
11%
18%
71%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 2
VIT
9%
20%
71%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEN
13%
18%
68%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
ACA
2 - 1
VAR
33%
27%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 0
FAF
73%
19%
8%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
ARO
0 - 0
BRA
84%
13%
4%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 4
BRA
81%
14%
4%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
BRA
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 2
VIL
44%
25%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
ALV
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |