Varzim vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
5º
5º
35
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
PAR
71%
21%
8%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 2
VAR
20%
27%
53%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 2
VIL
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
SAO
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 0
VSC
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 2
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
BRA
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
FEL
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ANA
0 - 0
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |