Varzim vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
27.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SCP
0 - 0
VAR
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 0
CHA
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
ACV
4 - 2
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 2
FCP
11%
21%
69%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 0
ARO
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
PEN
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LEX
2 - 3
BRA
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 0
ORI
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 3
POR
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 0
BRA
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |