Varzim vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
VAR
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 1
BEN
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
VAR
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
LEX
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SCF
1 - 1
VAR
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
OLH
0 - 0
AVE
48%
27%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 0
OLH
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
OLH
1 - 0
ATL
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
OLH
2 - 1
PEN
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
FAM
1 - 0
OLH
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |