Varzim vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
29.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 0
VAR
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 0
BOA
29%
30%
41%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
VAR
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
UDL
1 - 0
VAR
53%
24%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 0
UDL
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
EST
2 - 1
OLH
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
OLH
1 - 0
VIZ
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
SPC
4 - 3
OLH
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
OLH
3 - 2
EST
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
OLH
2 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |