Varzim vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
61%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
VAR
77%
16%
8%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 1
ESA
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 0
OLI
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 0
VAR
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 2
ARO
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
ARO
3 - 0
RIO
33%
27%
41%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
RIO
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 3
FCP
14%
21%
65%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
RIO
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |