Varzim vs RD Agueda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
ACA
3 - 2
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 0
SCF
42%
29%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
VAR
48%
28%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ANA
0 - 1
VAR
17%
23%
60%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
OLH
53%
27%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
RD Agueda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TOU
3 - 1
RDA
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RDA
3 - 0
ADN
47%
23%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RDA
2 - 1
SOU
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GOU
0 - 4
RDA
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
RDA
0 - 0
LUS
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |