Varzim vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 3
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 3
VIZ
24%
27%
50%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 0
VAR
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
COV
2 - 1
VAR
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 1
BEN
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
EST
23%
27%
50%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
PEN
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 2
COV
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LEX
2 - 0
PEN
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
ACV
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |