Varzim vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
VAR
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 1
GFC
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
LEX
2 - 1
VAR
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 0
VSC
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 2
GFC
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
BRA
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
POR
3 - 1
PEN
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
FAM
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 1
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |