Varzim vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
27.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
4 - 3
RIB
67%
20%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 2
VAR
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 0
GON
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
VAR
5 - 2
SPC
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ARO
3 - 3
VAR
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 1
BEL
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOR
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
FEI
2 - 1
MOR
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
GFC
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 1
FCP
15%
23%
62%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |