Varzim vs Mirandela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FAF
1 - 0
VAR
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
RIB
68%
21%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
OSL
0 - 0
VAR
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
MIR
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 0
BUS
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MIR
2 - 1
GON
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 2
MIR
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MIR
2 - 1
AMA
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
MIR
62%
24%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 0
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | -1 |