Varzim vs Merelinense analysis

Varzim Merelinense
61 ELO 47
-9.8% Tilt -5%
3376º General ELO ranking 20261º
56º Country ELO ranking 271º
ELO win probability
69%
Varzim
19.3%
Draw
11.7%
Merelinense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
Varzim
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.7%
Win probability
Merelinense
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO progression

Varzim
Merelinense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varzim
Varzim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 2011
VAR
Varzim
1 - 1
Moreirense
MOR
44%
28%
28%
62 64 2 0
05 Jan. 2011
VAR
Varzim
4 - 3
Ribeirão
RIB
67%
20%
12%
61 47 14 +1
29 Dec. 2010
GFC
Gil Vicente
2 - 2
Varzim
VAR
62%
23%
16%
61 68 7 0
23 Dec. 2010
VAR
Varzim
0 - 0
Gondomar
GON
42%
26%
32%
61 62 1 0
19 Dec. 2010
VAR
Varzim
5 - 2
SC Covilha
SPC
42%
28%
30%
60 61 1 +1

Matches

Merelinense
Merelinense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2010
MER
Merelinense
2 - 0
Carregado
CAR
32%
25%
43%
42 51 9 0
17 Oct. 2010
MER
Merelinense
2 - 1
Farense
FAR
12%
18%
70%
41 71 30 +1
18 Oct. 2009
MER
Merelinense
1 - 2
União de Leiria
UDL
13%
20%
67%
41 72 31 0