Varzim vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
MOR
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
4 - 3
RIB
67%
20%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 2
VAR
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 0
GON
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
VAR
5 - 2
SPC
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MER
2 - 0
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MER
2 - 1
FAR
12%
18%
70%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MER
1 - 2
UDL
13%
20%
67%
|
41 | 72 | 31 | 0 |