Varzim vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
VIT
2 - 1
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
BEL
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
SCP
0 - 0
VAR
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 2
RIO
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
FEI
2 - 0
VAR
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 0
VST
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIT
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 3
FCP
12%
19%
70%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
SPB
6 - 1
MAR
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
MAR
0 - 1
BEL
34%
29%
38%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |