Varzim vs Marítimo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MER
1 - 3
VAR
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
0 - 0
MIR
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VAR
5 - 0
LOU
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 4
VAR
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 2
OSL
68%
21%
12%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOU
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 1
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
OSL
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
MAR
56%
26%
19%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
FAM
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |