Varzim vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
SAN
1 - 2
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
VST
22%
28%
51%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
SPB
1 - 0
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
SLB
3 - 1
VAR
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
UFT
2 - 0
LEX
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
LEX
3 - 0
SAN
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
VST
1 - 1
LEX
83%
13%
5%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
LEX
2 - 0
SPB
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
BEL
2 - 1
LEX
60%
23%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |