Varzim vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
VAR
5 - 2
SPC
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ARO
3 - 3
VAR
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
VAR
2 - 0
FEI
30%
29%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
LEX
3 - 4
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 0
SAN
25%
28%
47%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 1
GON
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GON
0 - 1
OLH
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
AVE
0 - 1
GON
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GON
1 - 1
BOA
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 0
GON
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |