Varzim vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
68.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 0
ARO
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 1
OLI
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
VAR
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
VAR
11%
19%
71%
|
60 | 23 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
VSC
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FCP
4 - 0
BEL
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
FCP
2 - 1
CHL
30%
25%
46%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 2
FCP
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
DYN
2 - 2
FCP
38%
25%
38%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |