Varzim vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
EST
0 - 1
VAR
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 2
VST
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
SPB
2 - 0
VAR
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACA
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
SLB
2 - 1
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
FCP
2 - 1
VIT
76%
15%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
BEL
0 - 0
FCP
33%
27%
41%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
MUD
5 - 2
FCP
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
FCP
3 - 0
SCP
50%
23%
27%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
FCP
4 - 0
MUD
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |