Varzim vs FC Marco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
SPC
1 - 1
VAR
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
VAR
0 - 0
MAI
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
VAR
1 - 0
FEI
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 2
VAR
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
VAR
3 - 1
OVA
58%
23%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
FCM
0 - 1
MOR
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 0
FCM
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
POR
3 - 0
FCM
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
FCM
0 - 2
AVE
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
FCB
2 - 3
FCM
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |